MBA’s 2022 Origination Forecast; Supply Issues Not Hurting Builder Confidence (Yet); Rates Move Higher

MBA’s 2022 Origination Forecast; Supply Issues Not Hurting Builder Confidence (Yet); Rates Move Higher

Members of the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) are holding their annual convention in San Diego this week and the opening day was accompanied by the usual flurry of press releases including forecasts from the association's economists for the coming year. The projections, from Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist and Senior Vice President for Research and Industry Technology; Joel Kan, Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting; and Marina Walsh, CMB, Vice President of Industry Analysis, are rooted in expectations of robust homebuyer demand from millennial households and those seeking more space. These factors and still-low mortgage rates will provide favorable tailwinds for the housing market next year. Headlining the forecast is growth of 9.0 percent in purchase mortgage