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Another “Nice” Day For Rates, But Tomorrow is The Real Story

Another “Nice” Day For Rates, But Tomorrow is The Real Story

We've been waiting for tomorrow since April 10th.  That's the last time the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released.  This is one of the two official consumer-focused inflation indices in the U.S. and it comes out 2 weeks before the also important PCE price index.  With inflation being the top concern for interest rates these days, that makes CPI the most important scheduled economic report when it comes to rate volatility and momentum. People may know that "inflation is high" or that the price of various things is higher today than it was at some point in the past.  Indeed, it may be very easy--even popular--to lament the higher price of things.  But that has nothing to do with predicting how tomorrow will go.   Forecasts are already clear in their expectations for a 0.3% increas
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